Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.004936 0.005461 0.006005 0.006609 0.007261 0.007943 0.008707
2024-12-15 0.004242 0.005009 0.005843 0.006815 0.007912 0.009107 0.010504
2024-12-22 0.003764 0.004662 0.005677 0.006899 0.008322 0.009919 0.011838
2024-12-29 0.003463 0.004466 0.005632 0.007076 0.008800 0.010781 0.013212
2025-01-05 0.003238 0.004326 0.005625 0.007272 0.009282 0.011636 0.014578
2025-01-12 0.002879 0.003988 0.005348 0.007111 0.009310 0.011935 0.015273
2025-01-19 0.002632 0.003767 0.005193 0.007081 0.009481 0.012393 0.016153
2025-01-26 0.002389 0.003531 0.004999 0.006984 0.009553 0.012719 0.016865
2025-02-02 0.002206 0.003361 0.004878 0.006966 0.009714 0.013150 0.017707
2025-02-09 0.002036 0.003194 0.004748 0.006926 0.009838 0.013528 0.018481
2025-02-16 0.001956 0.003148 0.004775 0.007092 0.010229 0.014249 0.019700
2025-02-23 0.001792 0.002969 0.004610 0.006987 0.010253 0.014492 0.020303
2025-03-02 0.001672 0.002850 0.004525 0.006991 0.010429 0.014944 0.021196
2025-03-09 0.001631 0.002846 0.004602 0.007223 0.010919 0.015820 0.022664
2025-03-16 0.001550 0.002776 0.004580 0.007310 0.011208 0.016430 0.023786
2025-03-23 0.001504 0.002756 0.004627 0.007496 0.011635 0.017230 0.025174
2025-03-30 0.001466 0.002746 0.004687 0.007701 0.012093 0.018078 0.026637
2025-04-06 0.001336 0.002578 0.004500 0.007533 0.012012 0.018183 0.027091
2025-04-13 0.001250 0.002476 0.004409 0.007501 0.012122 0.018551 0.027906
2025-04-20 0.001154 0.002352 0.004275 0.007400 0.012126 0.018766 0.028510
2025-04-27 0.001084 0.002266 0.004199 0.007381 0.012249 0.019147 0.029346
2025-05-04 0.001013 0.002176 0.004111 0.007339 0.012332 0.019472 0.030107
2025-05-11 0.000990 0.002170 0.004159 0.007512 0.012741 0.020267 0.031539